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What are the odds of a 70 year old getting shingles?

4 min read

According to the National Institute on Aging, the risk of developing shingles becomes significantly greater by the time an individual reaches age 70. Anyone who has had chickenpox is at risk for developing shingles, as the virus can reactivate later in life, and this risk increases substantially with age. Understanding what are the odds of a 70 year old getting shingles is crucial for proactive health management.

Quick Summary

The likelihood of a 70 year old getting shingles is higher than for younger adults due to a naturally weakening immune system, and about half of all shingles cases occur in those aged 60 and older.

Key Points

  • High Risk for Seniors: The likelihood of getting shingles rises sharply with age, with approximately half of all cases occurring in adults 60 or older, and the risk becoming significantly higher by age 70.

  • Weakening Immune System: The primary reason for increased risk in seniors is the natural weakening of the immune system over time, which allows the dormant varicella-zoster virus to reactivate.

  • Severe Complications: Older adults face a higher risk of developing severe complications, most notably postherpetic neuralgia (PHN), a debilitating condition of chronic nerve pain.

  • Vaccination is Key: The Shingrix vaccine is highly recommended for all healthy adults aged 50 and over and is more than 90% effective at preventing shingles and PHN, including for those who have already had shingles.

  • Early Treatment Matters: If shingles does occur, seeking antiviral treatment within 72 hours of the rash appearing can significantly reduce the illness's duration and severity.

  • Prevention Beyond Vaccine: Beyond vaccination, maintaining a healthy lifestyle and managing stress can help support immune function and reduce the risk of an outbreak.

In This Article

Understanding the Increased Risk in Senior Adults

Shingles, or herpes zoster, is caused by the reactivation of the varicella-zoster virus (VZV), the same virus that causes chickenpox. After a person recovers from chickenpox, the virus lies dormant in nerve tissue and can reappear decades later as shingles, often triggered by a decline in immune system function. This age-related weakening of the immune system is the primary reason why seniors face a higher risk.

Why Age is a Major Factor

The CDC reports that around one million cases of shingles occur in the U.S. each year, and the majority of these cases are in adults aged 50 and older. The risk continues to climb with each passing decade. Studies show that people over 70 are at a much greater risk compared to those under 50. In fact, approximately half of all shingles cases affect people aged 60 and older. This pattern is consistent with the natural deterioration of the immune system over time, making it less effective at keeping the dormant virus in check.

Shingles Incidence Rate by Age

Incidence rates clearly show the heightened risk in older adults. For example, a study cited by the Australian Immunisation Handbook indicates that the rate of herpes zoster in immunocompetent adults increases significantly with age, particularly in the 70-79 age group. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) estimates that about 1 in 3 Americans will develop shingles at some point in their lifetime, with the risk of complications escalating significantly after age 60.

Potential Complications and Severity

Not only is the incidence higher for seniors, but the potential complications are also more severe. While most shingles cases resolve within three to five weeks for healthy individuals who receive prompt treatment, older adults often face a more difficult course.

Postherpetic Neuralgia (PHN)

PHN is the most common complication of shingles, characterized by persistent nerve pain that can last for months or even years after the rash has disappeared. The risk of developing PHN rises dramatically with age. One in 5 shingles cases in people over 80 results in PHN, compared to about 1 in 10 for those in their 50s. PHN can be debilitating, impacting daily activities and causing significant distress.

Other Serious Complications

Older adults are also more susceptible to a range of other serious complications, especially if the rash appears on the face. These can include vision loss, neurological issues, and secondary infections.

The Power of Vaccination: A Senior's Best Defense

The most effective way to prevent shingles and its serious complications is vaccination. The CDC recommends the Shingrix recombinant zoster vaccine for all healthy adults aged 50 and older.

Why Shingrix is Recommended

The Shingrix vaccine is given as a two-dose series, two to six months apart. It has been shown to provide strong, long-lasting protection. Clinical trials have demonstrated high efficacy rates, which remain strong even in older age groups, offering significant protection against both shingles and PHN.

Vaccination Considerations

It is recommended to get the Shingrix vaccine even if you have had shingles, received the older Zostavax vaccine, or don't remember having chickenpox.

Comparison: Shingles Risk Factors

Risk Factor Impact on Shingles Risk
Advanced Age Increases significantly with age; most common factor. Weakened immune system allows the virus to reactivate.
Compromised Immune System High risk. Medical conditions like HIV, cancer, or immunosuppressant drugs can trigger shingles.
Previous Chickenpox Infection Required for shingles to develop. The virus remains dormant after recovery.
Stress or Illness Can trigger an outbreak. Physical or emotional stress and other infections can temporarily weaken immunity.

Practical Steps for Senior Care

For seniors, proactive health measures are the key to mitigating the risk of shingles and its long-term effects. Beyond vaccination, a healthy lifestyle can support a stronger immune system.

  • Consult a Healthcare Provider: Discuss your personal risk factors and vaccination status with your doctor or pharmacist.
  • Maintain a Healthy Lifestyle: Eating a balanced diet, staying physically active, and managing stress can all contribute to overall immune health. Mindfulness meditation may help manage the pain associated with shingles.
  • Recognize Early Symptoms: Be aware of early signs like burning, tingling, or itching. Early treatment with antiviral medications within 72 hours of the rash can significantly shorten the duration and severity of the illness.
  • Avoid High-Risk Individuals: If you have an active shingles rash, take precautions to cover it and avoid contact with those who are immunocompromised, pregnant, or have not had chickenpox.

For more comprehensive information on shingles and vaccination, visit the official website of the CDC at {Link: CDC https://www.cdc.gov/shingles/}.

Conclusion: Taking Control of Your Health

While the odds of a 70 year old getting shingles are significantly higher than for younger individuals, this is not an unavoidable outcome of aging. The higher risk, coupled with the potential for severe and long-lasting complications like PHN, makes prevention a top priority. The advent of highly effective vaccines like Shingrix has put control back in the hands of seniors. By staying informed, getting vaccinated, and adopting healthy lifestyle practices, seniors can greatly reduce their chances of contracting this painful disease and preserve their quality of life for years to come.

Frequently Asked Questions

The odds of a 70 year old getting shingles are significantly higher than for younger adults. Studies indicate that the risk increases substantially by age 70 due to a weakening immune system, and approximately one in three people in the U.S. will get shingles in their lifetime.

Yes, shingles tends to be more severe in older adults. Seniors have a higher risk of developing serious complications like postherpetic neuralgia (PHN), and their symptoms, including pain and rash, can be more intense and long-lasting.

The most effective way to prevent shingles for a 70 year old is to get vaccinated with the Shingrix vaccine. The CDC recommends a two-dose series of Shingrix for all healthy adults aged 50 and older.

The most common and serious complication for a 70 year old is postherpetic neuralgia (PHN), a condition of chronic nerve pain. Other potential complications include vision loss if the rash affects the eye, bacterial infections, and, in rare cases, neurological issues.

Yes, the CDC recommends getting the Shingrix vaccine even if you have already had a shingles episode. The vaccine can help prevent future occurrences of the disease.

Studies have shown that the Shingrix vaccine provides strong, long-lasting protection for seniors. More information on the duration of protection can be found here: {Link: NCOA website https://www.ncoa.org/article/how-long-does-the-shingles-vaccine-last/}.

A 70 year old who suspects they have shingles should contact a healthcare provider immediately. Starting antiviral medication within 72 hours of the rash's appearance is critical for reducing the severity and duration of the illness.

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Medical Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and should not replace professional medical advice. Always consult a qualified healthcare provider regarding personal health decisions.