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How much does Prolia decrease fracture risk? Understanding the data from clinical trials

4 min read

According to the landmark FREEDOM clinical trial, Prolia (denosumab) reduced the relative risk of new vertebral fractures by 68% and hip fractures by 40% in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis over three years compared to a placebo. This data is central to understanding how much Prolia decreases fracture risk in high-risk patients.

Quick Summary

Prolia significantly reduces the risk of hip, vertebral, and nonvertebral fractures in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis. The treatment works by inhibiting bone resorption, leading to increased bone mineral density and sustained fracture prevention over the long term. Its efficacy and safety profile have been established through extensive clinical research.

Key Points

  • Vertebral Fracture Risk Reduction: Based on the 3-year FREEDOM trial, Prolia reduced the relative risk of new vertebral fractures by 68% in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis compared to a placebo.

  • Hip Fracture Risk Reduction: Over the same 3-year period, Prolia also decreased the relative risk of hip fractures by 40% versus placebo.

  • Nonvertebral Fracture Risk Reduction: The risk of nonvertebral fractures was reduced by 20% compared to placebo after three years of Prolia treatment.

  • Long-Term Efficacy: Long-term data shows that Prolia provides sustained fracture risk reduction for up to 10 years, accompanied by continuous increases in bone mineral density.

  • Discontinuation Requires Follow-Up: Stopping Prolia treatment can lead to a rebound in fracture risk, particularly multiple vertebral fractures. Patients should transition to another osteoporosis therapy if they stop Prolia.

  • Comparison to Oral Bisphosphonates: A real-world study showed that Prolia significantly lowered the risk of major osteoporotic fractures (39% reduction) compared to alendronate.

  • Side Effects and Monitoring: Though generally well-tolerated, potential risks include rare cases of osteonecrosis of the jaw and atypical femoral fractures. Monitoring and calcium/vitamin D supplementation are necessary.

In This Article

Prolia's Efficacy in Reducing Vertebral Fractures

The most prominent data on how much Prolia decreases fracture risk comes from the 3-year, randomized, placebo-controlled FREEDOM trial. This study is the cornerstone of the drug's approval for treating postmenopausal osteoporosis. The trial enrolled nearly 8,000 women aged 60 to 90 with low bone mineral density (BMD). Over the course of three years, the most significant risk reduction was observed for new vertebral (spinal) fractures.

During the trial, the cumulative incidence of new vertebral fractures was 2.3% in the denosumab (Prolia) group, compared with 7.2% in the placebo group. This represents a remarkable relative risk reduction of 68%. The sustained low incidence of vertebral fractures continued throughout the 10-year FREEDOM Extension study, confirming the long-term effectiveness of the treatment in protecting the spine.

Prolia's Impact on Hip and Nonvertebral Fractures

Beyond vertebral fractures, the FREEDOM trial also demonstrated Prolia's ability to reduce the risk of other significant fracture types. This comprehensive fracture reduction is a key benefit of the medication for patients with osteoporosis.

  • Hip Fractures: The cumulative incidence of hip fractures was 0.7% in the Prolia group versus 1.2% in the placebo group after three years. This translates to a 40% relative risk reduction for hip fractures. Long-term data from the extension study showed that these fracture rates remained low over a decade of treatment.
  • Nonvertebral Fractures: The risk of nonvertebral fractures (such as those of the arm, pelvis, and humerus) was also reduced by Prolia. The trial showed a 20% relative risk reduction for these fractures over the three-year period. Continued treatment over ten years was shown to further decrease nonvertebral fracture rates.

A comparative look at fracture risk reduction

Clinical data from real-world studies also provides valuable context by comparing Prolia to other common osteoporosis treatments, such as oral bisphosphonates like alendronate. A large retrospective study involving Medicare patients offered a comparative look at fracture prevention.

Fracture Type Prolia vs. Placebo (FREEDOM Trial) Prolia vs. Alendronate (Real-World Study)
Vertebral 68% relative risk reduction 30% relative risk reduction (for hospitalized vertebral fractures)
Hip 40% relative risk reduction 36% relative risk reduction
Nonvertebral 20% relative risk reduction 43% relative risk reduction

The Mechanism Behind Prolia's Fracture Protection

Prolia (denosumab) is a targeted therapy that works differently from many other osteoporosis medications. Instead of binding to the bone itself, it targets a specific protein, the Receptor Activator of Nuclear factor Kappa-Β Ligand (RANKL).

  1. RANKL Inhibition: Denosumab is a monoclonal antibody that binds to RANKL.
  2. Osteoclast Activity Blocked: By binding to RANKL, Prolia prevents it from activating osteoclasts, the cells responsible for breaking down bone tissue.
  3. Decreased Bone Resorption: With osteoclast activity inhibited, the breakdown of bone slows dramatically.
  4. Increased Bone Density: This allows bone formation to outpace resorption, leading to progressive and continuous increases in bone mineral density over time. Higher bone density makes bones stronger and more resistant to fractures.

This continuous increase in BMD over the course of treatment is a key differentiator from bisphosphonates, which tend to show a plateau effect after a few years. Long-term data from the FREEDOM Extension trial showed that Prolia led to cumulative 10-year BMD gains of 21.7% at the lumbar spine and 9.2% at the total hip. This increase in bone mass directly contributes to the sustained reduction in fracture risk observed over long-term therapy.

Important Considerations for Treatment

While Prolia is highly effective, it is not a treatment that can be stopped abruptly. The anti-resorptive effect of denosumab is reversible, meaning bone turnover and fracture risk can rebound after discontinuation, leading to an increased risk of multiple vertebral fractures. For this reason, a plan for transitioning to another anti-osteoporosis therapy, such as a bisphosphonate, should be in place if Prolia is discontinued.

It is also important to note that patients must be supplemented with calcium and vitamin D throughout their treatment. Regular monitoring by a healthcare provider is essential to manage any potential side effects and to determine the appropriate duration of therapy. Individual factors, such as age, comorbidities, and fall risk, are also considered when creating a personalized treatment plan.

Potential adverse events

Like any medication, Prolia has potential side effects. Clinical trials and real-world studies have monitored these events closely. While rates of overall adverse events were similar to placebo in the initial FREEDOM trial, some specific conditions were noted.

  • Infections: A higher rate of cellulitis leading to hospitalization was observed with Prolia compared to placebo. The overall infection rate was not significantly different.
  • Osteonecrosis of the Jaw (ONJ): This is a rare, but serious, condition that involves jaw bone damage. The incidence was very low in the clinical studies.
  • Atypical Femoral Fractures: Also rare, these are unusual fractures of the thigh bone. The risk is very low, but patients should be monitored for new thigh or groin pain.

Conclusion

For postmenopausal women with osteoporosis at high risk of fracture, Prolia has been shown to significantly decrease fracture risk across multiple skeletal sites. Based on the 3-year FREEDOM trial, the relative risk for new vertebral fractures was reduced by 68%, hip fractures by 40%, and nonvertebral fractures by 20% compared to a placebo. Long-term extension data further demonstrates sustained efficacy over 10 years, leading to continuous increases in bone density and maintained low fracture rates. While highly effective, treatment requires careful management, especially upon discontinuation, to prevent a rebound in fracture risk. Patients should discuss the benefits and risks with their healthcare provider to determine if Prolia is the right long-term treatment option for them.

This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute medical advice. Please consult with a healthcare professional for diagnosis and treatment.

Frequently Asked Questions

The primary evidence comes from the 3-year, placebo-controlled FREEDOM trial, which demonstrated a 68% relative risk reduction for new vertebral fractures, a 40% reduction for hip fractures, and a 20% reduction for nonvertebral fractures in postmenopausal women with osteoporosis.

Yes, Prolia can be used for long-term fracture prevention. Extended studies have shown continued increases in bone mineral density and sustained low fracture rates over a period of up to 10 years.

If Prolia is discontinued, the risk of fracture increases rapidly, particularly the risk of multiple vertebral fractures, as the treatment's effect on bone is reversible. A transition to another osteoporosis medication is recommended to mitigate this risk.

Prolia works by inhibiting the function of osteoclasts, the cells responsible for breaking down bone. By blocking a protein called RANKL, Prolia reduces bone resorption and allows bone density to increase, making bones stronger and less prone to breaking.

Prolia has been shown to reduce the risk of vertebral, hip, and nonvertebral fractures. In general, the most significant risk reduction is observed for vertebral fractures.

Clinical data suggests that Prolia provides a greater increase in bone mineral density than bisphosphonates over time, leading to potentially greater fracture reduction. One real-world study showed Prolia lowered major osteoporotic fracture risk by 39% compared to alendronate.

While generally safe, rare side effects such as osteonecrosis of the jaw (ONJ) and atypical femoral fractures have been reported. An increased risk of serious infections, particularly cellulitis requiring hospitalization, was noted in clinical trials.

References

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Medical Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and should not replace professional medical advice. Always consult a qualified healthcare provider regarding personal health decisions.