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What are the predictors of falls? An extensive guide to understanding and preventing fall risks

4 min read

According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC), more than one in four adults aged 65 and older fall each year. To understand and reduce this risk, it is critical to know what are the predictors of falls, which can be divided into two main categories: intrinsic factors related to an individual's health and extrinsic factors tied to their environment.

Quick Summary

Falls are a significant health concern for older adults, caused by a complex interplay of intrinsic and extrinsic risk factors. Identifying personal health conditions, medication use, mobility impairments, and environmental hazards is key to effective prevention and safety.

Key Points

  • History of Falls: A previous fall is one of the strongest predictors of a future fall.

  • Balance and Strength Issues: Age-related declines in balance, gait, and lower body strength are major intrinsic risk factors.

  • Medication Management: Polypharmacy (taking multiple medications) and specific drug types, including sedatives and antidepressants, significantly increase fall risk.

  • Environmental Hazards: Home dangers like clutter, poor lighting, loose rugs, and lack of safety rails are common extrinsic predictors.

  • Vision and Cognition: Impaired vision and cognitive conditions such as dementia can severely affect an individual's ability to navigate their surroundings safely.

  • Balance Assessment Tools: Healthcare providers use tests like the Timed Up and Go (TUG) test to assess mobility and predict risk.

  • Fear of Falling: The psychological consequence of a fall, such as the fear of falling, can lead to reduced activity, which further weakens muscles and increases risk.

  • Multifactorial Approach: Effective fall prevention involves addressing both the intrinsic and extrinsic risk factors through a combination of medical and environmental interventions.

In This Article

Falls are not a normal or unavoidable part of aging, but rather a complex issue caused by a combination of contributing factors. These predictors can be categorized to better understand and manage the risk in older adults.

Intrinsic predictors: Health and physical factors

Intrinsic factors are health-related conditions and changes within an individual that increase their likelihood of falling. These are often related to age but can be managed with proper care.

  • History of previous falls: A history of falling is one of the single strongest predictors of a future fall. Someone who has fallen once is at a significantly higher risk of falling again.
  • Balance and gait impairments: Normal aging can cause a decrease in gait speed, balance, and overall stability, making an individual more susceptible to losing their footing. Conditions like Parkinson's disease or stroke can severely impact balance and gait.
  • Lower body weakness: As people age, muscle mass and strength naturally decline, a condition known as sarcopenia. Weakness in the legs can make it difficult to recover from a stumble and is a common risk factor. Grip strength has also been identified as a key indicator of overall strength and fall risk.
  • Vision problems: Poor vision due to conditions like cataracts, glaucoma, or age-related macular degeneration can make it hard to see hazards and navigate one's surroundings safely. Wearing multifocal glasses can also affect depth perception and increase risk.
  • Chronic medical conditions: A variety of chronic health issues can increase fall risk. These include arthritis, diabetes, heart disease, thyroid problems, and urinary incontinence, which can cause urgency and lead to falls, especially at night.
  • Cognitive impairment: Conditions like dementia or mild cognitive impairment can increase fall risk due to poor judgment, memory issues, and disorientation. A recent study also linked impaired cognitive performance to falls in Parkinson's patients.
  • Psychological factors: The fear of falling is a significant predictor in itself. Individuals who develop this fear may restrict their physical activity, which leads to deconditioning and further increases their risk. Depression has also been consistently linked with a higher incidence of falls.
  • Orthostatic hypotension: A sudden drop in blood pressure when standing can cause dizziness or lightheadedness, leading to a fall. This is particularly common in older adults.

Extrinsic predictors: Environmental and medication factors

Extrinsic factors are external hazards and influences that contribute to falls. These are often the easiest to modify.

  • Polypharmacy and medications: Taking multiple medications (polypharmacy) significantly increases the risk of falls, especially if an individual is on four or more. Certain drug classes, including sedatives, antidepressants, tranquilizers, and some blood pressure medications, can cause dizziness, drowsiness, or impaired balance. Opioid use has also been identified as a significant predictor.
  • Home hazards: The home environment is a common location for falls. Common hazards include:
    • Clutter and trip hazards (cords, papers, books)
    • Slippery floors or loose rugs
    • Broken or uneven steps
    • Inadequate lighting
    • Lack of grab bars in bathrooms and handrails on stairs
  • Poor footwear: Wearing backless shoes, high heels, floppy slippers, or just socks on slippery floors can increase the risk of a slip or trip. Shoes with thin, hard soles may also be less stable.

Comparison of intrinsic and extrinsic risk factors

While intrinsic and extrinsic factors both contribute to fall risk, their nature and modifiability differ significantly.

Feature Intrinsic (Individual) Factors Extrinsic (Environmental/Situational) Factors
Nature Internal, biological, and physiological attributes. External, environmental, and pharmacological elements.
Examples Muscle weakness, chronic diseases, vision impairment, cognitive decline, fear of falling. Loose rugs, poor lighting, side effects from medications, unsuitable footwear.
Modifiability Can be managed and improved through exercise, medication management, and medical intervention. Often easier and faster to modify or remove (e.g., tidying clutter, installing grab bars).
Intervention Requires clinical and personal health strategies like physical therapy, medication review, and exercise programs. Focuses on safety measures, home modifications, and behavior changes.
Role Represents the individual's inherent susceptibility to falling due to their health status. Creates the hazardous conditions or external influences that can trigger a fall.
Significance Multiple intrinsic factors often accumulate with age, dramatically increasing risk. Can be the immediate cause of a fall, even in otherwise healthy individuals when combined with specific actions like rushing.

Fall prediction models and assessment tools

To help predict and prevent falls, healthcare providers use various screening and assessment tools.

  • STEADI Initiative: The CDC's STEADI (Stopping Elderly Accidents, Deaths & Injuries) program recommends screening all older adults annually with three key questions: asking if they have fallen in the past year, if they feel unsteady, and if they worry about falling.
  • Timed Up and Go (TUG) Test: This is a simple performance-based test where a person is timed while they rise from a chair, walk a short distance, and sit back down. A longer time suggests a higher fall risk.
  • Berg Balance Scale: This assessment uses a series of functional tasks to evaluate a person's static and dynamic balance.
  • Comprehensive Assessment: This includes a multifactorial evaluation of gait, balance, vision, blood pressure, medications, and home hazards.

Conclusion

Recognizing the predictors of falls—from intrinsic health-related issues to extrinsic environmental factors—is the crucial first step toward prevention. By understanding that a combination of factors, not just one, often contributes to a fall, individuals and caregivers can take a more comprehensive approach to safety. Implementing strategies like regular exercise to improve balance and strength, reviewing medications with a healthcare provider, and modifying the home environment to eliminate hazards can significantly reduce the risk and enhance overall quality of life. A proactive, multifactorial approach is the most effective way to address and manage fall risk.

Frequently Asked Questions

The most significant predictor of falls in older adults is a prior history of falling. An individual who has experienced a fall is at a much higher risk of falling again in the future.

Certain medications and polypharmacy (taking four or more medicines) can increase fall risk. Drugs like tranquilizers, sedatives, and antidepressants can cause dizziness, drowsiness, and affect balance.

Intrinsic predictors are internal, health-related factors, including age-related changes. Examples include muscle weakness, gait and balance problems, chronic diseases, vision or hearing impairment, and cognitive decline.

Extrinsic predictors are external, environmental hazards that increase fall risk. These include poor lighting, loose floor rugs, clutter, uneven surfaces, and inappropriate footwear.

Yes, balance tests can predict your fall risk. Healthcare professionals often use performance-based measures like the Timed Up and Go (TUG) test, which measures mobility and balance, to screen for risk factors.

Yes, impaired vision is a significant predictor of falls. Poor visual acuity, reduced contrast sensitivity, and conditions like cataracts or glaucoma can make it difficult to identify obstacles and maintain balance.

Fear of falling is a significant psychological predictor that can lead to a vicious cycle of risk. It causes individuals to limit their activity, leading to weaker muscles, poorer balance, and an even higher risk of falling.

You can assess your home for risks by checking for hazards such as loose rugs, clutter on the floor, poor lighting, and a lack of safety features like grab bars. The CDC's STEADI initiative provides resources for making your home safer.

References

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Medical Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and should not replace professional medical advice. Always consult a qualified healthcare provider regarding personal health decisions.