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What percent of men live until 100? Exploring Male Longevity

4 min read

Though women statistically have a higher chance of reaching their hundredth birthday, the number of male centenarians is growing rapidly. So, what percent of men live until 100, and what factors are contributing to this shift in longevity trends?

Quick Summary

Based on recent data, the probability of an average man living to 100 is less than 2%, though this is higher for specific demographics. While a much smaller proportion of centenarians are male compared to female, this gender gap is narrowing.

Key Points

  • Small but Growing Percentage: A very low percentage of men live to be 100, but the male centenarian population is growing at a faster rate than the female population.

  • Significant Gender Gap: The probability of a man reaching 100 is considerably lower than a woman's, and the majority of current centenarians are female.

  • Biological Factors at Play: Genetic differences, such as the X chromosome advantage for women, and the effects of hormones like testosterone influence the longevity disparity.

  • Lifestyle Matters: Healthy habits, including not smoking, maintaining a healthy weight, exercising regularly, and staying socially connected, are strongly correlated with living to 100.

  • Healthier Male Survivors: The men who live to be centenarians often appear to be a more resilient and functionally healthy group compared to their female counterparts of the same age.

  • Demographics Are Changing: Projections show the gender ratio of centenarians will continue to shift, with the percentage of men at age 100 and older steadily increasing.

In This Article

Current Statistics on Male Centenarians

According to a 2024 analysis reported by WebMD, the probability of living to age 100 is just under 2% for men, significantly lower than the 5% probability for women. A 2023 Boston University Medical Campus report using 2018 CDC period life tables provides a more detailed picture for different birth cohorts in the U.S., noting that 0.9% of white boys, 1.1% of Black boys, and 2.2% of Hispanic boys born in 2018 are projected to live to 100. This confirms that a very small percentage of men reach this milestone, though the likelihood varies by race and ethnicity.

While the probability for any given individual remains small, the overall number of male centenarians is on the rise. Data from the U.S. Census Bureau highlights this trend, revealing that between 2010 and 2020, the male centenarian population grew by 85.3%, a much faster pace than the 42.9% increase for female centenarians. As a result, the male share of the centenarian population is increasing. In 2020, about 21.2% of centenarians were male, up from 17.2% in 2010. Projections suggest this trend will continue, with men expected to comprise a larger portion of the centenarian population in the coming decades.

The Longevity Gap: Why Do Women Outlive Men?

The persistent gender gap in longevity, where women generally outlive men, is rooted in a combination of biological, behavioral, and social factors.

Biological Factors

  • Genetics and Chromosomes: Some hypotheses suggest a genetic advantage for women. Women possess two X chromosomes, while men have one. In women, if one X chromosome has a damaging mutation, the other can compensate. Men lack this backup, which may leave them more susceptible to certain genetic issues.
  • Hormonal Differences: The effects of hormones like testosterone offer an example of 'antagonistic pleiotropy'—biological processes that are beneficial early in life but can be detrimental later on. While testosterone promotes muscle growth and bone strength in younger men, it can increase the risk of heart disease and blood clots in older men.

Behavioral and Lifestyle Factors

  • Risk-Taking Behaviors: Historically, men have engaged in riskier behaviors, such as higher rates of smoking and heavier alcohol consumption, which have significant long-term health consequences. While these trends are shifting, the historical impact is still visible in older populations.
  • Healthcare Utilization: Men have traditionally been less proactive about seeking regular medical check-ups and addressing health concerns early, leading to later-stage diagnoses for diseases that might have been treatable if caught sooner.

The Unique Profile of Male Centenarians

Interestingly, the men who do achieve exceptional longevity often follow a different path than their female counterparts. Research from Boston University's New England Centenarian Study suggests that male centenarians are often healthier and more functionally robust than female centenarians at the same age. This has led researchers to suggest that surviving male centenarians represent a more robust and selective group, as men appear less capable of living to extreme ages while managing age-related diseases. In contrast, women may handle age-related illnesses better, allowing them to live longer despite poorer overall health later in life.

Lifestyle Habits That Increase the Chances of Living to 100

While genetics play a role, lifestyle choices are crucial for maximizing one's chances of living a long, healthy life. Studies of centenarians and other exceptionally long-lived individuals reveal common patterns:

  • Maintaining a Healthy Weight: Most centenarians are not obese and maintain a lean body weight, which reduces the risk of many chronic diseases.
  • Avoiding Smoking: Smoking is rare among centenarians, indicating a strong link between avoiding substantial smoking and extreme longevity.
  • Regular Physical Activity: Engaging in consistent, moderate exercise throughout life is a common trait among those who live to 100. Regular movement helps maintain physical and cognitive function.
  • Social Connection: Staying socially active and connected with friends and family has been linked to greater life expectancy and lower stress levels.
  • Healthy Diet: While diets vary, most centenarians consume a balanced diet rich in vegetables, healthy fats, and lean proteins.

Comparing Male and Female Longevity Trends

Aspect Male Centenarians Female Centenarians
Current Probability (US) Just under 2% ~5%
Share of Centenarian Population (2024, US) ~22% ~78%
Centenarian Population Growth (2010-2020, US) 85.3% 42.9%
Projected Share by 2054 ~32% ~68%
Relative Health at 100+ Often more functionally robust More likely to live longer despite poorer health

Conclusion: The Increasing Path to 100

While the percentage of men who live to 100 remains small compared to women, the growing number of male centenarians indicates an encouraging shift in longevity trends. The narrowing gender gap and faster growth rate of male centenarians suggest that a combination of medical advances, improved lifestyles, and evolving social behaviors are helping more men achieve exceptional longevity. While biological factors present unique challenges, focusing on healthy habits remains the most proactive step for anyone hoping to join the ranks of the centenarians. To explore more about the factors influencing a long life, visit the National Institutes of Health website at https://www.nih.gov/.

Frequently Asked Questions

According to a 2024 WebMD report, the probability of a woman living to 100 is approximately 5%, more than double the percentage for men.

The difference is attributed to a mix of biological, behavioral, and social factors. Biologically, hormonal effects and chromosomal differences contribute, while behaviorally, men have historically engaged in riskier lifestyles, and socially, women often maintain stronger support networks.

Yes, while a significant gap remains, it is narrowing. Between 2010 and 2020, the male centenarian population grew at a much faster rate than the female population. Pew Research projects the male share of centenarians will increase to 32% by 2054.

Some studies suggest that the men who survive to 100 are often functionally healthier than their female counterparts at that age. This may be because men are less able to withstand chronic disease to the same extent as women.

Both genetics and lifestyle are important, but lifestyle choices can significantly influence an individual's chances. While some people may have a genetic predisposition for longevity, healthy habits like diet, exercise, and social engagement are found consistently among centenarians.

The COVID-19 pandemic caused a decline in overall life expectancy, affecting both males and females. The life expectancy gap between men and women also widened during this period.

According to 2020 Census data, states like Hawaii, Washington D.C., and Connecticut had a higher proportion of centenarians relative to their total population, while Utah and Alaska had the lowest.

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Medical Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and should not replace professional medical advice. Always consult a qualified healthcare provider regarding personal health decisions.