Skip to content

What percentage of men make it to 100?

4 min read

While women overwhelmingly dominate the centenarian population, the percentage of men making it to 100 is on the rise, with men projected to make up a larger share of those 100 and older in the coming decades. Understanding the factors behind this demographic shift offers insight into male longevity.

Quick Summary

Currently, men represent a smaller but growing proportion of centenarians, though they are significantly outnumbered by their female counterparts. Multiple factors influence the likelihood of a man reaching 100, including genetics and lifestyle.

Key Points

  • Current Statistics: The percentage of male centenarians in the U.S. is currently around 22% and is projected to increase to 32% by 2054, though they remain outnumbered by women.

  • CDC Birth Cohort Data: Based on 2018 CDC life tables, the survival rate to age 100 for baby boys is low, approximately 1-2%, depending on race and ethnicity.

  • Biological Differences: Hormonal and chromosomal differences, such as testosterone's long-term effects and the female advantage of two X chromosomes, contribute to the gender gap in longevity.

  • Lifestyle is Key: Beyond genetics, factors like diet, exercise, social connections, and not smoking are critical for increasing a man's chance of living to 100.

  • Healthier Male Centenarians: Studies suggest that the men who do become centenarians tend to be exceptionally healthy and functionally well, indicating a higher health threshold for achieving extreme age.

  • Narrowing Gap: The male centenarian population is growing at a faster rate than the female population, suggesting a gradual narrowing of the historical gender longevity gap.

In This Article

The Current State of Male Centenarianism

Centenarians, individuals living to age 100 or older, are becoming more common, and the demographics of this population are shifting. While women continue to hold the majority of spots in the triple-digit age bracket, the percentage of men is steadily increasing. In 2024, data indicates that approximately 22% of all centenarians in the U.S. are men. This marks an increase compared to earlier decades. For context, in 2020, men accounted for about 21.2% of centenarians, a notable jump from 17.2% in 2010.

Looking at birth cohorts gives another perspective on what percentage of men make it to 100. Based on 2018 CDC life tables for the U.S., a relatively low percentage of baby boys live to 100, though this figure varies by race and ethnicity. For example, the CDC estimated that 0.9% of white boys, 1.1% of black boys, and 2.2% of Hispanic boys born in 2018 would survive to age 100. While these numbers seem small, advancements in medicine and lifestyle improvements suggest that these figures will continue to rise for future generations.

The Longevity Gap: Why Women Still Outlive Men

For more than a century, women have generally outlived men in the U.S. and in many other countries. The reasons for this longevity gap are complex, involving a mix of biological, behavioral, and social factors.

Biological factors

  • Chromosomal differences: Women have two X chromosomes, while men have one X and one Y. Some scientists believe that the redundancy of the second X chromosome in women may offer a protective advantage against certain genetic disorders that contribute to early mortality.
  • Hormonal effects: The male hormone testosterone, while vital for development, may have long-term cardiovascular downsides. Conversely, estrogen may offer protective cardiovascular benefits for women, especially before menopause.

Behavioral and social factors

  • Risky behavior: Historically, men have shown a higher propensity for risk-taking behavior, leading to higher rates of accidents and fatal injuries, especially at younger ages.
  • Health-seeking behavior: Men are, on average, less likely than women to seek regular medical care, adhere to medical advice, or address mental health concerns. This delay in treatment can lead to worse outcomes for many chronic diseases.
  • Occupation: Men have historically been overrepresented in more dangerous occupations, such as logging, fishing, and construction, which have higher rates of work-related injuries and deaths.
  • Smoking and alcohol: While the gap has narrowed, historical trends show that men have had higher rates of smoking and heavy drinking, both of which negatively impact long-term health.

Shifting Demographics and Future Projections

While the gender gap in longevity has been a persistent trend, recent analysis suggests the disparity among the oldest-old is narrowing. The U.S. Census Bureau reported that the male centenarian population grew significantly faster than the female population between 2010 and 2020, indicating a closing of the gap. This trend is projected to continue. Pew Research Center reports that the male centenarian population is expected to grow, projecting that by 2054, men will constitute 32% of the centenarian population, up from 22% in 2024.

Factors Associated with Extreme Longevity

Reaching 100 is not solely a matter of chance; it is influenced by a combination of genetics, lifestyle, environment, and social connections. Studies of centenarians, including those from organizations like the New England Centenarian Study, have identified several common themes.

Key predictors of longevity

  • Genetics: While genetics play a significant role (estimated at 20-35%), they do not predetermine longevity completely. Centenarians often possess specific genetic variants that provide a degree of resilience against age-related diseases.
  • Lifestyle habits: Adopting healthy behaviors is a major factor. This includes maintaining a healthy weight, eating a nutrient-rich diet, and regular physical activity.
  • Social connections: Strong social networks, whether through family, friends, or community groups, are consistently linked to better health outcomes and longer lifespans.
  • Resilience and outlook: Many centenarians share a positive attitude and strong coping mechanisms for stress, which can mitigate the physiological damage of chronic stress.

Lifestyle factors promoting longevity in men

For men looking to improve their chances of healthy aging, focusing on key lifestyle areas is crucial:

  • Regular Exercise: Engaging in consistent physical activity, such as walking, strength training, or cycling, improves cardiovascular health, preserves muscle mass, and boosts mood.
  • Balanced Diet: Adopting a healthy diet, such as a Mediterranean or plant-based diet, can reduce the risk of heart disease, stroke, and diabetes.
  • Social Engagement: Actively maintaining relationships with family and friends helps combat isolation, a known risk factor for poor health in older age.
  • Preventative Healthcare: Unlike past generations, modern men can greatly benefit from proactively seeking medical advice and undergoing regular health screenings. Early detection of conditions can significantly extend healthspan.
  • Mental Wellness: Addressing stress and mental health is as important as physical health. Mindfulness, hobbies, and social activities can improve psychological well-being.

Male vs. Female Centenarians: A Comparison

Characteristic Male Centenarians Female Centenarians
Prevalence Significantly lower, though increasing Overwhelmingly higher, though decreasing as a share
Health Status Generally healthier and more robust, suggesting a higher threshold for survival to extreme old age Tend to have more age-related diseases but handle them better, living longer with potential disability
Genetic Profile Potentially different genetic variations than female centenarians that contribute to longevity Likely possess unique genetic advantages that enable extended lifespan
Life Expectancy Gap (at birth) Lower than women, historically due to behavioral and biological factors Higher than men, largely due to a lower incidence of cardiovascular disease and fewer risky behaviors

Conclusion: Looking Ahead to a Longer-Lived Future

While the current percentage of men who make it to 100 remains far lower than that of women, the trajectory is changing. The rise of male centenarians reflects advancements in public health and a greater understanding of what it takes to live a long, healthy life. By focusing on both addressing historical behavioral disadvantages and embracing modern preventative and lifestyle habits, men today have a better chance than ever before of joining the growing ranks of centenarians. The longevity journey is a complex interplay of biology and behavior, and for men, proactive health management is proving to be a powerful tool for extending their lifespan well into triple digits.

Frequently Asked Questions

While the exact percentage of a birth cohort that makes it to 100 is small and depends on factors like race, men currently account for about 22% of the centenarian population in the U.S..

Fewer men reach 100 primarily due to a combination of biological factors, such as chromosomal and hormonal differences, and behavioral factors, including historically higher rates of smoking and risk-taking behavior.

Yes, the number of male centenarians has been increasing steadily. Between 2010 and 2020, the male centenarian population grew significantly faster than the female population.

Based on 2018 CDC period life tables, the chances of a boy at birth living to 100 varied by race and ethnicity, but were typically around 1-2%. These percentages are expected to rise for future generations.

Lifestyle factors play a major role in longevity. Men can improve their chances of healthy aging by maintaining a healthy weight, exercising regularly, eating a balanced diet, not smoking, and nurturing social connections.

Studies on male centenarians suggest that the men who achieve this milestone tend to be functionally healthier and more robust than female centenarians at the same age. They also typically have better lifestyle habits, such as not smoking.

While higher education is generally linked to better health outcomes, one study focused on the oldest-old in Washington State found an unexpected negative association, possibly due to shifting demographics and the importance of biological factors at extreme ages.

Strong social connections, including those with family, friends, or faith-based organizations, are strongly associated with a longer lifespan and better health outcomes for men. Social engagement helps reduce stress and isolation.

References

  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 3
  4. 4
  5. 5
  6. 6

Medical Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and should not replace professional medical advice. Always consult a qualified healthcare provider regarding personal health decisions.